Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.035163 0.038245 0.041337 0.044666 0.048142 0.051660 0.055484
2026-01-18 0.030667 0.035288 0.040065 0.045350 0.051011 0.056873 0.063382
2026-01-25 0.025654 0.031222 0.037147 0.043870 0.051238 0.059022 0.067821
2026-02-01 0.022285 0.028573 0.035445 0.043417 0.052324 0.061888 0.072857
2026-02-08 0.019692 0.026530 0.034191 0.043258 0.053558 0.064774 0.077794
2026-02-15 0.018337 0.025765 0.034258 0.044474 0.056235 0.069179 0.084342
2026-02-22 0.017023 0.024921 0.034131 0.045378 0.058482 0.073045 0.090243
2026-03-01 0.015661 0.023902 0.033706 0.045853 0.060170 0.076228 0.095332
2026-03-08 0.014309 0.022793 0.033087 0.046026 0.061449 0.078895 0.099798
2026-03-15 0.013515 0.022329 0.033203 0.047034 0.063668 0.082614 0.105440
2026-03-22 0.012003 0.020824 0.031948 0.046316 0.063791 0.083867 0.108218
2026-03-29 0.011066 0.020021 0.031525 0.046568 0.065034 0.086391 0.112436
2026-04-05 0.010342 0.019484 0.031438 0.047251 0.066824 0.089601 0.117513
2026-04-12 0.009619 0.018902 0.031260 0.047799 0.068440 0.092605 0.122355
2026-04-19 0.008145 0.017130 0.029437 0.046202 0.067387 0.092409 0.123426
2026-04-26 0.007203 0.016070 0.028508 0.045703 0.067646 0.093748 0.126276
2026-05-03 0.006454 0.015243 0.027855 0.045523 0.068276 0.095511 0.129612
2026-05-10 0.006217 0.015209 0.028292 0.046768 0.070685 0.099420 0.135497
2026-05-17 0.005901 0.015022 0.028498 0.047695 0.072687 0.102832 0.140791
2026-05-24 0.005480 0.014626 0.028385 0.048181 0.074122 0.105549 0.145251
2026-05-31 0.005005 0.014100 0.028057 0.048360 0.075150 0.107760 0.149100
2026-06-07 0.004792 0.014016 0.028367 0.049396 0.077272 0.111310 0.154559
2026-06-14 0.004148 0.013095 0.027398 0.048657 0.077089 0.112011 0.156576